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Modeling Decision Making in Optimal Stopping Problems
You are here:
Modeling Decision Making in Optimal Stopping Problems

Date: June 9, 2022 9:00 am

Modeling Decision Making in Optimal Stopping Problems

Speaker: Bettina Helversen, Prof. Dr.

In many real-life decisions, options are distributed in space and time, making it necessary to search sequentially through them, often without a chance to return to a rejected option. The optimal strategy in these tasks is to choose the first option that is above a threshold that depends on the current position in the sequence and reflects the expected value of the remaining options. Human behavior in optimal stopping tasks varies substantially but largely diverges from this optimal strategy. In the talk I will present a model we developed to describe how humans make decisions in optimal stopping problems. It assumes that humans decide whether to accept or reject an option based on a threshold that decreases linearly with each encountered option. The model can explain why human risk preferences seem to change across optimal stopping tasks and how humans adapt to different task environments.

Host: Ulrich Ettinger, Prof. Dr.

ICAL-Link

Venue:

https://uni-bonn.zoom.us/j/99726851020?pwd=ZHRpaDQrZ2YzYnFmUE51eitkMjZiZz09
Meeting-ID: 997 2685 1020
Code: 001211

Contact:

Prof. Dr. Heinz Beck
Institute of Experimental Epileptology and Cognition Research
Life and Brain Center
University of Bonn Medical Center
Sigmund-Freud Str. 25
53127 Bonn

Contact:

Prof. Dr. Heinz Beck
Institute of Experimental Epileptology and Cognition Research
Life and Brain Center
University of Bonn Medical Center
Sigmund-Freud Str. 25
53127 Bonn

Contact:

Prof. Dr. Heinz Beck
Institute of Experimental Epileptology and Cognition Research
Life and Brain Center
University of Bonn Medical Center
Sigmund-Freud Str. 25
53127 Bonn